PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4b2aa02b512df5afb7c2af442b89dd3cd8293b5e

0x4b2aa02b512df5afb7c2af442b89dd3cd8293b5e

Realised P&L
$-0.43
Volume
$16.0k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$11.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? · Yes0.4000.170$11.89−$16.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:25Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-18 01:47Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.086999999$5.00
09-13 16:06Will Colombia vs. DPR Korea end in a draw?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-13 16:05Will Colombia win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.045$9.00
08-11 23:47Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?BUY0.679999994$18.00
07-19 21:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999847$5.00
07-19 21:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4045126452$23.67
07-19 21:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2929999864$10.00
07-19 21:03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.0775$2.87
07-19 20:34Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.4525$14.25
07-19 19:54Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.3974999872$10.00
07-19 03:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.409999991$10.00
07-19 03:32Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-19 03:32Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3174999999$10.00
07-15 20:57Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.1199999808$5.00