PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nancy11

0x4b27608ccb0224c85fabbaee88e774a4e2b6dc14

Realised P&L
$40.57
Volume
$21.8k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$26.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Raptors (-8.5) · Raptors0.5300.575$12.49+$0.98
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? · No0.7700.835$10.41+$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20? · No0.6100.135$3.76−$13.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:43Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.998$11.18
01-30 16:41Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$8.47
01-30 15:06Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.997999994$11.71
01-30 14:15Will Solana dip to $80 in January?BUY0.999$21.66
01-30 13:14Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9929999999$26.63
12-30 12:11Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?BUY0.999$2.87
12-30 11:07Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.999$3.28
12-30 09:54Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?BUY0.998$18.97
12-30 09:39Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$15.02
12-29 20:07Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.999$18.09
12-29 18:59Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998$20.55
10-30 22:34Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$25.46
10-30 19:07Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?BUY0.999$25.72
09-29 16:54Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$10.53
09-29 03:32Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$19.86