AA138
0x4b24c4a8ea4f8cb66fa33499480ae0759f0bbe6b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.08
- Volume
- $325.00
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $0.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.002 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.54at 0.016Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.00 |