rpund
0x4b22c20b47d17aa43b24300861e56f5216288cd6
- Realised P&L
- $357.80
- Volume
- $44.7k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $185.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Dolphins · Patriots | 0.760 | 0.805 | $161.00 | +$9.00 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.982 | 0.989 | $24.41 | +$0.16 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$182.50 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · KT Rolster | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.50 |
| Nets vs. Magic · Nets | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.00 |
| Jazz vs. Warriors · Jazz | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.00 |
| Bucks vs. Spurs · Bucks | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$216.00 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Heat vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.50 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$667.36at 0.144Kings vs. Raptors
- +$524.83at 0.125Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
- +$406.31at 0.187LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$376.78at 0.225Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$265.00at 0.470Kings vs. Red Wings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:33 | Patriots vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 10-31 13:57 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 10-29 13:58 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.19 | $66.50 |
| 10-26 14:07 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 10-25 09:44 | Colts vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 10-21 12:12 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-17 13:22 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 10-14 13:04 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.89 | $133.50 |
| 10-11 06:30 | Texans vs. Titans | BUY | 0.76 | $114.00 |
| 10-11 06:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.986 | $65.79 |
| 10-09 12:21 | Old Dominion vs. Appalachian State | BUY | 0.77 | $192.50 |
| 10-06 07:23 | Will England vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-05 13:38 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 10-03 09:33 | Cowboys vs. Texans | BUY | 0.42 | $63.00 |
| 09-29 13:36 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |