PolyBot

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Traders

Sr97

0x4b225482f9e2115311b3aec23cdf081427eb432d

Realised P&L
$55.22
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
185
Open portfolio
$303.65

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded185
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9230.997$99.64+$7.37
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9630.963$77.00−$0.05
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? · No0.8540.855$34.20+$0.02
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? · No0.9750.962$28.86−$0.39
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7700.880$17.60+$2.20
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01? · No0.9740.975$9.74+$0.01
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9540.968$9.68+$0.14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.968$9.68+$1.07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7000.675$6.75−$0.25
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9400.955$5.73+$0.09
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9500.954$4.77+$0.02
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$3.00
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5 · Over0.8000.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down0.9000.000$0.00−$5.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:17Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.974$4.87
10-01 12:17Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.974$4.87
09-29 07:26Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.954$9.54
09-28 17:44Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?SELL0.017$0.17
09-28 17:44Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?BUY0.038$0.38
07-19 22:00Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.945$9.45
07-19 21:45Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.91$10.00
07-19 20:52Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6175$6.18
06-14 17:33Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9159999861$5.00
05-16 21:02Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
05-16 20:18Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.33$1.65
02-22 11:47Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.8$3.00
02-22 11:46Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.77$3.00
02-22 11:42AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5BUY0.8799999883$3.00
02-22 11:42AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5BUY0.8599999828$3.00