0x4B2241F98A889a3489D4DB3547d5f703a86E9431-1767915987659
0x4b2241f98a889a3489d4db3547d5f703a86e9431
- Realised P&L
- $263.70
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $249.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Oregon (-2.5) · Oregon | 0.560 | 0.555 | $249.75 | −$2.25 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$223.60 |
| Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.00 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants · Colorado Rockies | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.11 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.36 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.00 |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels · Texas Rangers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$229.60 |
| Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.80 |
| Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys · Mariano Navone | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.85 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5 · Over | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.48 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$302.10 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants · Athletics | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.56at 0.462Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$219.31at 0.552Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$214.43at 0.562Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
- +$210.94at 0.592Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$208.71at 0.572Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:25 | Spread: Oregon (-2.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $252.00 |
| 09-18 21:02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.55 | $258.49 |
| 09-02 21:10 | Western Kentucky vs. Nevada | BUY | 0.49 | $200.90 |
| 08-29 17:38 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.52 | $228.80 |
| 08-28 22:56 | San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.54 | $248.40 |
| 08-24 22:39 | Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $233.20 |
| 08-23 20:19 | Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $126.73 |
| 08-23 16:46 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.55 | $269.49 |
| 08-22 22:55 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.61 | $329.40 |
| 08-21 23:04 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.53 | $233.20 |
| 08-21 23:03 | San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $302.10 |
| 08-20 22:59 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $220.48 |
| 08-19 17:44 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.54 | $187.38 |
| 08-13 23:33 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.52 | $223.60 |
| 08-13 01:38 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.56 | $229.60 |