junq
0x4b20968f34a20ffc3110ccee4c7f2b35ecba1d2e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.93
- Volume
- $58.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $34.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18? · No | 0.969 | 0.955 | $34.36 | −$0.52 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.664Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.65at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.57at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 17-23?
- +$0.56at 0.979Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.43at 0.986Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 04:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.72 |
| 10-10 15:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 10? | BUY | 0.9979999795 | $35.00 |
| 10-09 15:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 9? | BUY | 0.996 | $35.00 |
| 10-08 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $35.00 |
| 10-07 15:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9979999795 | $35.00 |
| 10-04 08:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9799999873 | $34.00 |
| 10-03 10:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $33.46 |
| 10-03 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $33.49 |
| 10-01 14:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.977 | $33.22 |
| 10-01 14:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.992 | $32.72 |
| 09-28 05:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.983 | $9.83 |
| 09-28 05:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.983 | $9.83 |
| 09-28 05:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.74 |
| 09-28 01:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.992 | $32.00 |
| 09-27 14:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.87 |