yellow.brown
0x4b20559b9f6b59a2c0a0e29f56e4c1294710afa6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $489.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ledger IPO before 2027? · No | 0.872 | 0.970 | $234.98 | +$23.57 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.247 | $84.45 | −$0.01 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.195 | $51.41 | −$76.48 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? · No | 0.465 | 0.898 | $44.92 | +$21.68 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? · Yes | 0.521 | 0.175 | $33.77 | −$66.79 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.195 | $17.49 | +$2.49 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.195 | $16.41 | −$16.89 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No | 0.339 | 0.125 | $6.25 | −$10.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.3kat 0.695Ledger IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 12:18 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.465 | $23.25 |
| 05-18 12:17 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.33859 | $16.93 |
| 05-18 12:16 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? | BUY | 0.7045945946 | $26.07 |
| 05-18 12:15 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9237957831 | $150.00 |
| 05-18 12:15 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.093616 | $9.36 |
| 05-07 06:44 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 05-07 06:44 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? | BUY | 0.49 | $45.57 |
| 05-07 06:41 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.790182 | $39.51 |
| 04-23 17:03 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.2419853533 | $516.79 |
| 04-23 06:44 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 04-23 06:44 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.2746 | $27.46 |
| 04-23 06:42 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.3145062456 | $26.69 |
| 04-21 13:32 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? | BUY | 0.46835 | $23.42 |
| 04-21 13:31 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.24064 | $120.32 |
| 04-13 05:57 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.86 |