jgi
0x4b1929cf30606d30cae0823b5fc91206aac85b1e
- Realised P&L
- $2.91
- Volume
- $132.0k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $32.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18? · No | 0.968 | 0.955 | $32.45 | −$0.46 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.614Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.03at 0.972Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?
- +$0.86at 0.975Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?
- +$0.80at 0.978Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 17-23?
- +$0.61at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 16:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.64 |
| 10-09 15:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.00 |
| 10-08 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.00 |
| 10-04 08:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9799999767 | $32.00 |
| 10-03 02:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $31.52 |
| 10-01 14:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.977 | $31.26 |
| 10-01 14:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.992 | $31.74 |
| 09-28 08:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $31.36 |
| 09-28 01:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $31.00 |
| 09-27 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.88 |
| 09-19 12:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.69 |
| 09-13 03:25 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.987 | $29.61 |
| 09-04 12:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-04 11:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.94 | $30.08 |
| 09-01 05:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $30.08 |