w47dfhngfc
0x4b1501a6d91604989435cd31d946f8085649dfcf
- Realised P&L
- $-763.60
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $1.27 | −$3.13 |
| Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 3? · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$768.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.64at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 30?
- +$0.66at 0.980Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?
- +$0.31at 0.991Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 16?
- +$0.31at 0.991Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 1?
- +$0.24at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 07:36 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $12.90 |
| 07-31 07:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.80 |
| 07-29 06:16 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9889999993 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 06:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.90 |
| 07-24 07:02 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-24 07:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.90 |
| 07-23 06:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 07-23 06:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.90 |
| 07-22 07:23 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.80 |
| 07-22 07:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.80 |
| 07-20 05:59 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.60 |
| 07-20 05:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 20? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $32.90 |
| 07-18 07:20 | Will Solana dip to $60 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-18 07:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.40 |
| 07-17 06:57 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.90 |