w47dfhngfc
0x4b1501a6d91604989435cd31d946f8085649dfcf
- Realised P&L
- $-760.44
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $0.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.85 | −$3.55 |
| Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 3? · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$768.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.64at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 30?
- +$0.62at 0.981Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?
- +$0.29at 0.992Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 16?
- +$0.28at 0.992Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 1?
- +$0.22at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 12? | BUY | 0.993999938 | $12.90 |
| 08-12 06:53 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 12? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.80 |
| 08-11 06:25 | Will Solana reach $85 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.90 |
| 08-11 06:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.50 |
| 08-10 07:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 10? | BUY | 0.9989999851 | $31.50 |
| 08-06 07:03 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.90 |
| 08-06 07:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.50 |
| 07-31 07:36 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $12.90 |
| 07-31 07:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.80 |
| 07-29 06:16 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9889999993 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 06:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.90 |
| 07-24 07:02 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-24 07:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.90 |
| 07-23 06:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 07-23 06:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.90 |