PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hpl3

0x4b088b577da45a74d93c947b09c8a346c8add13d

Realised P&L
$-43.95
Volume
$827.71
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$164.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? · No0.7860.865$16.42+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 20? · No0.8500.925$16.32+$1.32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 19? · No0.8600.915$15.77+$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.4200.425$15.23+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.3200.325$14.77+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? · No0.7100.665$13.85$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? · No0.6300.700$13.24+$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 19? · No0.9200.660$10.76$4.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? · No0.5300.480$10.56$1.10
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? · No0.4500.435$9.29$0.32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 20? · No0.7800.765$8.86$0.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? · No0.7900.825$8.55+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.1600.100$4.04$2.42
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 20? · Yes0.2400.240$2.75+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · No0.7200.705$2.52$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 03:21Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 20?BUY0.78$9.03
09-19 03:16Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.32$14.54
09-19 03:11Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.42$15.05
09-19 00:16Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.45$9.61
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 20?BUY0.85$14.99
09-18 18:26Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.9199999975$15.00
09-18 18:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20?BUY0.7857850369$14.91
09-18 18:16Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 19?BUY0.86$14.82
09-18 15:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.7$7.43
09-18 15:11Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.53$11.66
09-16 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-16 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-16 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-16 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-16 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.4099998975$1.00