hpl3
0x4b088b577da45a74d93c947b09c8a346c8add13d
- Realised P&L
- $-43.95
- Volume
- $827.71
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $164.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.26at 0.732Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$6.28at 0.546Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$5.36at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$3.18at 0.617Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$2.51at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.78 | $9.03 |
| 09-19 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.32 | $14.54 |
| 09-19 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.42 | $15.05 |
| 09-19 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.61 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $14.99 |
| 09-18 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9199999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7857850369 | $14.91 |
| 09-18 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.86 | $14.82 |
| 09-18 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.43 |
| 09-18 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.53 | $11.66 |
| 09-16 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |