tehpojjj7
0x4b00dc2c8570ab29b0f2117ecfd94f40dbd9804e
- Realised P&L
- $-11.79
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.974 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July? · Yes | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.23at 0.520Will Girona beat Feyenoord?
- +$3.21at 0.560Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?
- +$0.89at 0.530Spread: High Point Panthers (-8.5)
- +$0.50at 0.860Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?
- +$0.34at 0.880Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 08:03 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $209.79 |
| 06-20 08:03 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $199.79 |
| 06-20 08:03 | Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.9852884806 | $198.44 |
| 06-18 09:23 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $210.00 |
| 06-18 09:22 | Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 06-18 09:21 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $200.00 |
| 04-30 06:06 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.985 | $208.93 |
| 04-30 06:05 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $199.59 |
| 04-29 07:16 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.995 | $210.00 |
| 04-29 07:16 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.994 | $208.74 |
| 04-29 07:16 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.995 | $210.00 |
| 04-29 07:15 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 03-31 05:54 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.9882422576 | $350.37 |
| 03-31 05:53 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 03-31 05:53 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $79.92 |