PolyBot

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Traders

LaBearBear

0x4aff1846ee6cf7be93bd14f600ebc0208e84c594

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$227.3k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$26.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · No0.7420.810$17.41+$1.47
Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes0.3480.120$8.82−$16.72
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2860.000$0.00−$218.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 08:56Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.0941176471$1.00
10-05 00:36Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.6799999932$20.00
10-03 04:28Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.07$1.64
09-22 23:21Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.7417906977$15.95
09-22 23:20Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.29$2.90
06-19 01:59Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.2899999987$127.00
06-18 10:53Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.28$91.84
06-18 10:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.3599999931$25.00
06-18 10:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.64$32.59
06-18 07:06Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.7699999998$100.00
06-18 05:53Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1AM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00
06-18 05:42Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.75$100.00
06-18 05:42Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1AM ETBUY0.75$100.00
04-15 15:12Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.6551679754$980.36
04-03 06:19Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.7799999901$11.00