elenaarybakin21
0x4afbb6588c79f2c5e9019908fd7440224dd1ed2b
- Realised P&L
- $19.3k
- Volume
- $2.78M
- Markets traded
- 917
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded917
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.463Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$8.5kat 0.083Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?
- +$6.7kat 0.640Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$6.6kat 0.491Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
- +$5.7kat 0.575Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:33 | M15 Offenbach: James Beaven vs Paulo Knippling | BUY | 0.51 | $2.9k |
| 10-11 10:26 | M15 Offenbach: James Beaven vs Paulo Knippling | BUY | 0.51 | $2.7k |
| 10-11 10:25 | M15 Offenbach: James Beaven vs Paulo Knippling | BUY | 0.51 | $510.00 |
| 10-10 17:40 | LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.11 | $129.95 |
| 10-10 09:40 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $532.63 |
| 10-10 09:38 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $3.0k |
| 10-08 21:21 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | SELL | 0.5104651163 | $109.75 |
| 10-08 21:16 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | SELL | 0.5038321026 | $1.3k |
| 10-08 21:15 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8? | SELL | 0.22 | $134.20 |
| 10-08 19:57 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | SELL | 0.6081015842 | $640.64 |
| 10-08 01:02 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.48 | $129.60 |
| 10-07 22:45 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.606487844 | $393.65 |
| 10-07 22:27 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.58 | $101.87 |
| 10-07 18:10 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8? | BUY | 0.2913700008 | $301.32 |
| 10-07 15:41 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |