PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asdfedf

0x4af54398135094e4bb8a5247046dc4a4dcb04f4e

Realised P&L
$154.99
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$442.34

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · No0.9750.999$99.90+$2.40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? · No0.9930.998$99.80+$0.47
Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? · No0.9600.973$97.25+$1.25
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 15? · No0.9800.961$96.05−$1.95
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15? · No0.9940.974$49.34−$1.01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026? · Yes0.9790.000$0.00−$97.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 04:54Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.975$97.50
10-16 04:54Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?BUY0.96$96.00
10-16 02:02Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?BUY0.994$15.31
10-16 02:02Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?BUY0.994$17.41
10-16 02:02Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?BUY0.9939999999$17.64
10-16 02:02Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.994$33.32
10-16 02:02Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.9929999999$66.01
10-16 02:02Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?BUY0.993$39.72
10-16 02:02Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?BUY0.992$29.76
10-16 02:01Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?BUY0.992$29.76
10-16 02:01Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 15?BUY0.98$98.00
07-01 14:53Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.965$96.50
07-01 14:53Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?SELL0.98$98.00
07-01 14:53Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?SELL0.999$106.27
07-01 14:53Will Future Front (FM) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?BUY0.996$65.63