PolyBot

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Traders

Stamatina

0x4af30c8f8f8a1bf28f52d43f09644b47f981c181

Realised P&L
$-24.27
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$32.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.1000.185$9.25+$4.25
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.2820.475$3.37+$1.37
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.3500.135$3.24−$5.16
Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026? · Yes0.2200.245$2.23+$0.23
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? · Yes0.1600.142$1.78−$0.22
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? · Yes0.1200.105$1.75−$0.25
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1300.110$1.69−$0.31
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1300.100$1.54−$0.46
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0800.060$1.50−$0.50
Kim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027? · Yes0.0700.050$1.43−$0.57
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes0.3000.100$1.00−$2.00
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · Yes0.2200.069$0.94−$2.06
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? · Yes0.2200.064$0.87−$2.13
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026? · Yes0.0200.015$0.72−$0.28
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · Yes0.2500.075$0.60−$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:46Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?SELL0.05$1.16
10-30 16:57Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?SELL0.19$1.12
10-18 15:20Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.107$2.14
10-16 23:38Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?SELL0.949288517$32.90
10-14 20:58Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?BUY0.0364532019$2.00
10-14 20:57Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.25$2.00
10-14 20:56Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.0764366926$2.00
10-14 16:35Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?BUY0.1199999976$2.00
10-14 16:34Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?SELL0.48$1.92
10-12 01:42Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
10-01 18:25Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
09-25 16:14Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
09-17 15:28Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.5$2.00
09-17 15:27Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.5099999949$3.00
08-31 17:03Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.1299999467$2.00