0x4af0a0a1a72e950c67b395d6d423521808565192
0x4af0a0a1a72e950c67b395d6d423521808565192
- Realised P&L
- $2.15
- Volume
- $348.03
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $6.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.925 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.740 | 1.000 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.933 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.955 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.600 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.150 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · No | 0.520 | 0.015 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.89at 0.280US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$5.03at 0.319Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.98at 0.371Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:26 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:07 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:25 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:25 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:21 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:17 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his announcement? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:09 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:55 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:46 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:24 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:16 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |