P1kaso
0x4aefed77846f1b884bcbfb9e63acb351c2be9337
- Realised P&L
- $76.2k
- Volume
- $12.94M
- Markets traded
- 3,053
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,053
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.7kat 0.346Will Barcelona win La Liga?
- +$8.4kat 0.650Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$8.1kat 0.560Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.7kat 0.024Will North Macedonia vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?
- +$7.6kat 0.999Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:03 | ELH: Sparta Prague vs. Mladá Boleslav | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-22 19:03 | ELH: Sparta Prague vs. Mladá Boleslav | BUY | 0.92 | $25.76 |
| 09-22 10:54 | Flyers vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.63 | $15.26 |
| 09-22 00:27 | Predators vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.56 | $16.97 |
| 09-22 00:20 | Flyers vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.58 | $29.88 |
| 09-20 12:33 | Will Teplice be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)? | BUY | 0.893442623 | $54.50 |
| 09-20 11:08 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.927 | $69.53 |
| 09-20 02:26 | Jets vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.99675 | $996.75 |
| 09-20 02:20 | Jets vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.99 | $7.31 |
| 09-20 02:10 | Jets vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.9865104958 | $241.56 |
| 09-20 02:09 | Jets vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.9862703412 | $375.77 |
| 09-20 00:11 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | SELL | 0.7515472779 | $26.23 |
| 09-19 23:40 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.74 | $284.61 |
| 09-19 23:38 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.73 | $270.37 |
| 09-19 23:33 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.71 | $3.26 |