PolyBot

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Traders

0x4ae75d1725ff2e0c0920f33c193b795fe0a6411f

0x4ae75d1725ff2e0c0920f33c193b795fe0a6411f

Realised P&L
$-762.66
Volume
$47.5k
Markets traded
1,187
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,187
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9220.880$1.9k−$91.64
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9100.958$180.18+$9.03
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9720.194$11.97−$48.03
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$55.00
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.8420.000$0.00−$52.40
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.4700.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$48.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 08:08Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9099999999$171.15
10-24 13:12Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9196922944$157.00
10-24 13:11Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.861$157.74
10-12 11:38Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.861$157.75
09-30 20:59Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.8764897938$127.97
09-07 07:19Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.7899999573$10.00
08-09 09:29Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?BUY0.9269999913$35.00
08-09 09:28Will Rodri join Real Madrid?BUY0.9728882201$45.00
08-09 09:21Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?BUY0.92699999$50.00
07-19 21:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9299999994$88.00
07-15 08:39Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6502462987$20.00
07-09 08:26Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999953$47.63
07-07 20:44Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9709999865$46.00
07-07 15:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7399999896$10.00
07-07 15:05Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999981$20.00