PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SPNKBBL

0x4ae56a271fe5117c6167a71c54a0f9d806f1f51d

Realised P&L
$8.3k
Volume
$474.8k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$549.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · Yes0.7400.915$365.69+$70.12
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.225$135.00−$27.00
Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.245$49.00−$11.00
Will Parma win on 2025-11-08? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$292.00
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$392.00
Will Andorra vs. Serbia end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$41.64
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$480.00
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-29? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$66.00
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-12? · Yes0.4190.000$0.00−$419.45
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$118.00
Will Sweden vs. Switzerland end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$262.30
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) · 100 Thieves0.0450.000$0.00−$45.00
Will Spezia Calcio win on 2025-12-13? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$177.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 18:37Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?BUY0.27$162.00
10-09 18:35Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.3$60.00
10-09 18:33Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.74$282.68
10-09 18:32Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.73$12.89
09-29 17:57Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.67$268.00
09-29 17:57Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.52$156.00
09-29 17:57Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.82$328.00
09-29 17:56Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.76$152.00
09-29 17:55Will Albania win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.94$282.00
09-29 17:55Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.43$215.00
09-29 17:55Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.54$162.00
09-29 17:54Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.82$328.00
09-28 18:43Will Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.3$60.00
09-28 18:43Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?BUY0.33$66.00
09-28 18:42Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4$200.00