PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4Ae2CF1882590Ba20807FE434F308fcB99940999-1767087033172

0x4ae2cf1882590ba20807fe434f308fcb99940999

Realised P&L
$-376.42
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$54.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.6980.220$41.89$91.11
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.4000.065$6.92$35.66
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5100.085$6.18$30.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-15 11:22Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?SELL0.3317226192$33.89
01-16 17:35Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.31$37.61
01-16 17:17Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.3379688844$41.00
01-16 17:11Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.996$66.89
01-11 15:43Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7988604558$39.96
01-09 14:56Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.4$42.58
01-09 14:53Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4667555722$150.00
01-09 14:48Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.6299999968$49.00
01-07 19:14Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.251815509$20.56
01-06 08:21Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.5475919176$121.68
01-06 08:20Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.5506763699$38.59
01-04 08:05Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.5$34.47
01-04 07:59Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5099999946$37.09
01-04 07:45Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.76$47.50
01-03 07:27Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.6984770045$133.00