PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

99bot

0x4ae0984c5eeb3b94a83ed130d2b37a23bb45525e

Realised P&L
$-358.54
Volume
$117.4k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$145.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? · Yes0.9950.992$145.82$0.44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Karmine Corp0.9880.000$0.00$296.40
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time? · No0.9660.000$0.00$289.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 05:20Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.99$119.79
09-15 05:20Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.983$49.15
09-15 05:20Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.981$4.91
09-15 05:20Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.98$3.92
09-14 23:00Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?BUY0.978$14.67
09-13 22:09Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.984$114.14
09-08 04:56Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.988$9.88
09-08 03:59Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?BUY0.981$91.70
09-08 03:59Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?BUY0.98$96.34
09-07 20:45Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?BUY0.977$54.14
09-06 23:22Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?BUY0.989$111.76
09-06 22:53Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?BUY0.989$173.07
09-06 21:37Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?BUY0.98$211.69
09-06 21:37Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?BUY0.979$39.16
09-06 21:37Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?BUY0.977$9.76