99bot
0x4ae0984c5eeb3b94a83ed130d2b37a23bb45525e
- Realised P&L
- $-358.54
- Volume
- $117.4k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $145.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.992 | $145.82 | −$0.44 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Karmine Corp | 0.988 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.40 |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time? · No | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$289.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.65at 0.518Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
- +$27.03at 0.973S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 28?
- +$20.57at 0.970Erling Haaland: 3+ goals
- +$16.72at 0.966Erling Haaland: 3+ goals
- +$15.62at 0.961GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:20 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $119.79 |
| 09-15 05:20 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 09-15 05:20 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 09-15 05:20 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.92 |
| 09-14 23:00 | Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? | BUY | 0.978 | $14.67 |
| 09-13 22:09 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.984 | $114.14 |
| 09-08 04:56 | Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 09-08 03:59 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.981 | $91.70 |
| 09-08 03:59 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.98 | $96.34 |
| 09-07 20:45 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.977 | $54.14 |
| 09-06 23:22 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne? | BUY | 0.989 | $111.76 |
| 09-06 22:53 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne? | BUY | 0.989 | $173.07 |
| 09-06 21:37 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.98 | $211.69 |
| 09-06 21:37 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.979 | $39.16 |
| 09-06 21:37 | Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.76 |