PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xxdfr50

0x4adbd0b714a7570229a85d3738fb788ec8d42d93

Realised P&L
$327.31
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$38.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Noble FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.9200.945$16.16+$0.43
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9480.974$14.60+$0.38
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8900.898$7.64+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-24 02:36Kings vs. GrizzliesBUY0.6299999181$2.00
02-24 02:35Spurs vs. PistonsBUY0.9699999965$2.75
02-24 02:34Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?BUY0.999000001$3.00
02-24 02:34Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-24 02:33Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?BUY0.999$2.00
02-24 02:33Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-24 02:16Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.953$14.29
09-29 12:26Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.994$34.76
07-17 10:13Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?SELL0.7564540682$34.59
04-24 04:54Will Bitcoin reach $150k in April?BUY0.9989999909$31.68
04-24 04:54Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?BUY0.9959999868$13.00
02-17 07:47Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.9859999619$22.05
02-17 07:47Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.9879999978$20.00
02-17 07:45Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.996$40.46
02-17 07:44Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.87$1.60