PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4adb623e64fb04682db6e91910c1bff0952ea58a

Realised P&L
$-119.37
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$19.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on September 20? · No0.8450.410$12.30$13.05
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 20? · No0.9690.433$4.33$5.36
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? · No0.9780.048$1.66$32.57
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 20? · No0.9780.219$1.09$3.79
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · No0.9630.062$0.31$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 12:02Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on September 20?BUY0.845$25.35
09-20 10:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?SELL0.991$19.82
09-20 10:28Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?SELL0.992$24.80
09-20 10:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?SELL0.99$4.95
09-20 08:32Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20?SELL0.99$4.95
09-20 08:27Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20?SELL0.99$9.90
09-20 08:26Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 20?SELL0.99$9.66
09-20 08:23Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.991$4.96
09-20 07:57Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 20?BUY0.978$4.89
09-20 07:57Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.969$9.69
09-20 07:57Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 20?SELL0.998$14.97
09-20 07:52Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.963$4.81
09-20 07:51Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 20?SELL0.991$4.96
09-20 07:33Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.978$19.56
09-20 07:32Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.99$19.80