aZXWQ63
0x4ad98b445de2f8edb361e2963c780306ad43fb5d
- Realised P&L
- $175.53
- Volume
- $64.9k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.20at 0.460Wild vs. Penguins
- +$9.22at 0.736Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$8.20at 0.736Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?
- +$3.04at 0.918Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.14at 0.944Will Solana dip to $150 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 19? | BUY | 0.990348454 | $30.40 |
| 09-18 15:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.984 | $29.90 |
| 09-14 02:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $36.70 |
| 09-05 08:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9799999862 | $34.00 |
| 09-04 15:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9859999998 | $34.40 |
| 09-03 03:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.9832545759 | $33.80 |
| 09-02 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.9782751325 | $33.20 |
| 09-01 15:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.80 |
| 08-31 05:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9859999862 | $32.40 |
| 08-31 02:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.992 | $32.20 |
| 08-30 14:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $31.80 |
| 08-29 02:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9908426941 | $31.50 |
| 08-27 03:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 27? | BUY | 0.9919999934 | $31.40 |
| 08-26 14:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 26? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $31.00 |
| 08-25 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.9788721664 | $30.40 |