0x4ad6f0f4e0799bf87b7fec2595b7cd6be5cebf78
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $361.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.01at 0.218US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$124.40at 0.673Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$118.02at 0.246Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$42.04at 0.037Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$33.41at 0.660Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:55 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0252473118 | $7.04 |
| 08-02 08:55 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0252960563 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 08:54 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.024990004 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 08:54 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.024980016 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 08:53 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0061514288 | $25.40 |
| 08-02 08:08 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0249003984 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 08:07 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.022894759 | $4.35 |
| 08-02 08:07 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0217726922 | $4.79 |
| 08-02 08:06 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0197372452 | $38.61 |
| 08-02 08:03 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 07:59 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0064583772 | $35.22 |
| 08-02 07:58 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0162203238 | $70.19 |
| 08-02 07:58 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0030361368 | $58.46 |
| 08-02 07:58 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 07:58 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $17.88 |