sdfesf3345
0x4ad6068afbbd988e31b690df65e36b42d4bc48dc
- Realised P&L
- $-30.65
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 19? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$13.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.09at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 19?
- +$13.04at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 10?
- +$12.19at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 17?
- +$12.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 13?
- +$9.94at 0.508Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C or below on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.43 |
| 09-30 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.80 |
| 09-28 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.79 |
| 08-31 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.82 |
| 07-06 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.75 |
| 07-03 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4? | BUY | 0.963 | $15.31 |
| 06-22 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9850053571 | $11.03 |
| 06-18 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 19? | BUY | 0.985008377 | $9.41 |
| 06-09 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.984 | $17.42 |
| 06-01 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.951 | $7.61 |
| 05-26 12:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of May 25 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.74 |
| 05-20 00:30 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $11.48 |
| 05-13 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14? | BUY | 0.9940012903 | $15.41 |
| 05-07 00:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.991 | $11.40 |
| 04-21 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22? | BUY | 0.925 | $13.95 |