PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdfesf3345

0x4ad6068afbbd988e31b690df65e36b42d4bc48dc

Realised P&L
$-30.65
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$0.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 19? · Yes0.5000.001$0.03−$13.30
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 17? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.23
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 13? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 09:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C or below on October 9?BUY0.998$6.43
09-30 00:18Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.997$7.80
09-28 16:14Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 29?BUY0.996$5.79
08-31 15:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 1?BUY0.998$6.82
07-06 08:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 7?BUY0.99$10.75
07-03 02:45Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4?BUY0.963$15.31
06-22 00:46Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 23?BUY0.9850053571$11.03
06-18 02:04Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 19?BUY0.985008377$9.41
06-09 01:19Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 10?BUY0.984$17.42
06-01 02:22Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 2?BUY0.951$7.61
05-26 12:40Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of May 25 2026?BUY0.98$12.74
05-20 00:30Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.957$11.48
05-13 00:50Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?BUY0.9940012903$15.41
05-07 00:51Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 8?BUY0.991$11.40
04-21 13:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?BUY0.925$13.95