0x4ad32cb691f7495207978cfefb74850af5206634
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 539
- Open portfolio
- $432.63
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded539
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.64at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
- +$138.46at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$116.36at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in May 2026?
- +$108.72at 0.091Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$102.16at 0.015Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 19:54 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $11.23 |
| 07-16 19:54 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $23.74 |
| 07-13 17:58 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.80 |
| 07-13 01:48 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.095 | $5.70 |
| 07-13 01:48 | Will Haley Thogmartin come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 01:48 | Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.20 |
| 07-12 21:49 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 07-12 20:32 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.08 |
| 07-12 18:57 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.08 |
| 07-12 18:56 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-12 18:56 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.37 |
| 07-12 04:08 | Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.099 | $2.08 |
| 07-12 04:05 | Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 07-12 04:05 | Will Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.245 | $5.77 |
| 07-11 15:24 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.102 | $0.76 |