flamencoflamingo
0x4acacfdc568abb7c574bc815705eaa9e32afd2ab
- Realised P&L
- $122.19
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $79.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Pelosi" in September? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.825 | $24.75 | +$0.05 |
| Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.505 | $20.20 | −$6.60 |
| Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in September? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.595 | $11.90 | −$3.50 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.690 | $6.90 | −$1.10 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No | 0.550 | 0.414 | $4.14 | −$1.36 |
| Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.410 | $4.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Letitia James by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.330 | $3.30 | +$0.90 |
| Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.590 | $2.95 | +$0.15 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $1.07 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.23at 0.395Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week?
- +$20.70at 0.092Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?
- +$20.02at 0.600Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week?
- +$12.01at 0.600Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?
- +$11.81at 0.410Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:53 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 09:54 | Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 09:54 | Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-18 00:19 | Will Trump say "Pelosi" in September? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-17 23:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Letitia James by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 23:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-11 06:45 | Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-11 05:30 | Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 09-11 05:21 | Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in September? | BUY | 0.838 | $20.95 |
| 09-08 18:11 | Will Trump say "Scottish Blood" this week? | BUY | 0.8099999787 | $2.66 |
| 09-08 07:04 | Will Trump say "Smoke" this week? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-08 06:56 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 09-08 00:08 | Will Trump say "Pelosi" in September? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 09-07 08:21 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.56 |
| 09-07 08:16 | Will Trump say "Golden Age" during remarks at Steel Across America? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |