PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4ac8dbf99ba5edded3396b0b57f4cda411998fc4

Realised P&L
$421.49
Volume
$27.3k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$67.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0800.042$51.88$48.13
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes0.0940.015$15.92$84.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 12:22UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.169999999$121.26
08-03 07:55Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
07-09 15:11Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.4367414022$114.93
06-23 10:17Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0289999999$200.00
06-20 12:20Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.6599999993$150.00
06-20 12:20Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.57$150.00
06-18 16:07Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?BUY0.05$20.00
06-18 16:07Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?BUY0.1463414579$20.00
06-17 17:01Spread: Portugal (-1.5)BUY0.53$300.00
06-17 14:39Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
06-17 14:39Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?BUY0.1699999941$20.00
06-17 14:39Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsBUY0.5399999999$150.00
06-17 14:38Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsBUY0.5399999993$200.00
06-16 19:04France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.572760873$100.00
06-16 15:01Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY0.4799999995$200.00