0x4ac8dbf99ba5edded3396b0b57f4cda411998fc4
- Realised P&L
- $421.49
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $67.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.042 | $51.88 | −$48.13 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.015 | $15.92 | −$84.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$586.40at 0.178UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$396.98at 0.480Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$319.05at 0.379Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$290.04at 0.399Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$212.55at 0.490Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 12:22 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.169999999 | $121.26 |
| 08-03 07:55 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 15:11 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | SELL | 0.4367414022 | $114.93 |
| 06-23 10:17 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $200.00 |
| 06-20 12:20 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $150.00 |
| 06-20 12:20 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.57 | $150.00 |
| 06-18 16:07 | Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 16:07 | Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? | BUY | 0.1463414579 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 17:01 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $300.00 |
| 06-17 14:39 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 14:39 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 14:39 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $150.00 |
| 06-17 14:38 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5399999993 | $200.00 |
| 06-16 19:04 | France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.572760873 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 15:01 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4799999995 | $200.00 |