Kakarama1
0x4ac779b842fde7c4dc6fa00076f410c16c59d6bc
- Realised P&L
- $134.24
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $240.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.60at 0.738Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
- +$31.75at 0.759Will Unidad por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?
- +$22.37at 0.949Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
- +$21.35at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$18.56at 0.531S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 07:25 | Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)? | BUY | 0.9659999849 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 07:57 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 22:45 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.981999999 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 22:41 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 11:43 | Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 11:43 | Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 11:43 | Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9869999956 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 11:42 | Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 11:38 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? | BUY | 0.959999616 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 09:35 | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.9829999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 09:34 | Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.984999999 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 09:34 | Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 09:33 | Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9599998618 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 07:18 | Will "Different" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 07:18 | Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |