PolyBot

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Traders

Kakarama1

0x4ac779b842fde7c4dc6fa00076f410c16c59d6bc

Realised P&L
$134.24
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
528
Open portfolio
$240.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded528
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9130.960$33.62+$1.62
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9770.973$31.86$0.14
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? · Yes0.9811.000$25.48+$0.48
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9640.870$22.56$2.44
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)? · Yes0.9661.000$20.70+$0.70
Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · No0.9851.000$20.30+$0.30
Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? · Yes0.9901.000$15.15+$0.15
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.455$10.58$9.42
Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · No0.9601.000$10.42+$0.42
Will Parchment: Agenda & Daily Note be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? · No0.9901.000$10.10+$0.10
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? · Yes0.9601.000$6.25+$0.25
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.9101.000$5.49+$0.49
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week? · Yes0.9401.000$5.32+$0.32
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9200.966$5.25+$0.25
Will PASOK – Movement for Change (PASOK-KINAL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · No0.9700.998$5.14+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 07:25Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?BUY0.9659999849$20.00
07-22 07:57Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8599999991$20.00
07-21 22:45Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.981999999$2.00
07-21 22:41Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?BUY0.96$5.00
07-21 11:43Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.98$5.00
07-21 11:43Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.96$5.00
07-21 11:43Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.9869999956$2.00
07-21 11:42Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?BUY0.9869999996$10.00
07-21 11:38Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?BUY0.959999616$1.00
07-21 09:35Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?BUY0.9829999947$10.00
07-21 09:34Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?BUY0.984999999$5.00
07-21 09:34Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?BUY0.9939999992$5.00
07-21 09:33Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?BUY0.9599998618$5.00
07-21 07:18Will "Different" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20?BUY0.98$2.00
07-21 07:18Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.98$3.00