PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

atavistic

0x4ac758c05c561523f37b0b276c540745f5c37b76

Realised P&L
$28.47
Volume
$207.81
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$352.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9080.900$99.10−$0.90
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7600.760$50.00+$0.00
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7500.745$49.67−$0.33
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8000.780$48.75−$1.25
Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8300.635$38.25−$11.75
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8800.855$9.72−$0.28
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8000.725$9.06−$0.94
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9000.800$8.89−$1.11
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8700.755$8.68−$1.32
Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8000.615$7.69−$2.31
Will Williams (WMB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8100.600$7.41−$2.59
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8000.420$5.25−$4.75
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on November 2? · Yes0.8600.865$1.01+$0.01
Will Estée Lauder (EL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9000.900$1.00+$0.00
Will Arm (ARM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8800.875$0.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:14Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.2B?BUY0.9$1.00
11-02 00:11Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $55.5B?BUY0.9$1.00
11-02 00:10Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $16B?BUY0.9$1.00
11-02 00:09Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
11-02 00:07Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.759999997$50.00
11-02 00:06Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8$50.00
11-02 00:01Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9081836254$100.00
11-01 23:58Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.75$50.00
11-01 23:54Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
11-01 19:49Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8$10.00
11-01 19:41Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.829999998$50.00
11-01 19:41Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-31 21:29Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.5B?BUY0.84$1.00
10-31 21:28Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $31B?BUY0.8699994606$1.00
10-31 02:45Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on November 2?BUY0.859999914$1.00