atavistic
0x4ac758c05c561523f37b0b276c540745f5c37b76
- Realised P&L
- $28.47
- Volume
- $207.81
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $352.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.50at 0.800Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.32at 0.760Will Hyatt (H) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.20at 0.830Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.12at 0.890Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.12at 0.895Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:14 | Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.2B? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $55.5B? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:10 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $16B? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:09 | Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 00:07 | Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 00:06 | Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 00:01 | Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9081836254 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 23:58 | Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 23:54 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:29 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.5B? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:28 | Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $31B? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 02:45 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on November 2? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |