Camstipated
0x4ac2091962b903a7d31ac9784f09e4e1bf6532aa
- Realised P&L
- $62.69
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $56.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.645 | $19.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.089 | $11.78 | −$13.22 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.175 | $6.62 | +$1.62 |
| Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.048 | $5.33 | −$4.67 |
| Will 007 First Light win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.021 | $4.83 | −$5.17 |
| Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.035 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.022 | $3.40 | −$2.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.64at 0.071Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$24.27at 0.110Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$20.92at 0.229Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$17.46at 0.191Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$14.57at 0.367Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 18:02 | Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0731939156 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 15:09 | Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0387692307 | $6.00 |
| 10-16 15:09 | Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0368217053 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 15:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 03:24 | Will Subnautica 2 win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.117200072 | $13.02 |
| 09-30 15:32 | Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 15:32 | Will Trump say "Social Security" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 15:31 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 15:07 | Will 007 First Light win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.0444833884 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 15:05 | Will Subnautica 2 win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 15:02 | Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1321278237 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 15:02 | Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1169999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:56 | Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2236953116 | $162.80 |
| 09-01 15:29 | Halle Berry as Storm? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.33 |
| 08-21 14:48 | Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1680111915 | $10.94 |