godlike6666
0x4ac04b2e2ee771993d0051aa613f7a7a889928eb
- Realised P&L
- $-134.45
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $10.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No | 0.630 | 0.455 | $9.10 | −$3.50 |
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.046 | $0.92 | −$10.08 |
| Will Alberts Smits be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 26? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will Chris Kavanagh win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.60 |
| Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage · No | 0.472 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.600Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.2B?
- +$1.20at 0.480Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $110B?
- +$0.10at 0.210Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September?
- +$0.00at 0.360Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?
- +$-0.00at 0.600Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 06:48 | Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 07-01 08:08 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.58 |
| 06-29 11:07 | Will LAB reach $20 before 2027? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.37 |
| 06-29 02:52 | Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 06-26 06:41 | Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.52 | $17.12 |
| 06-25 15:23 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.17 |
| 06-25 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25? | SELL | 0.69 | $12.73 |
| 06-25 01:08 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 06-24 15:51 | GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 06-24 10:01 | Will the announcers say "Record" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.04 |
| 06-24 06:13 | Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 06-23 08:22 | GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 15:52 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 06-22 13:40 | Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2848736 | $14.24 |
| 06-20 09:37 | Will Jack Grealish join Everton? | SELL | 0.59 | $23.60 |