0x4abebc18f370bd6307f61230f6ad7bb8e29e79dc
- Realised P&L
- $-9.09
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $150.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.065 | $150.86 | +$14.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.56at 0.421Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
- +$35.28at 0.540Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$26.39at 0.583Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$21.65at 0.620Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
- +$18.79at 0.718Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:45 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.0587102071 | $136.26 |
| 09-11 06:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.0087931259 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 23:22 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | SELL | 0.79 | $194.10 |
| 05-14 09:13 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? | BUY | 0.018634453 | $58.34 |
| 05-14 09:12 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $58.94 |
| 05-04 04:16 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? | SELL | 0.17361605 | $14.45 |
| 05-04 00:48 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | SELL | 0.13 | $11.66 |
| 05-04 00:48 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.69 |
| 05-02 08:30 | Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.9112509382 | $36.42 |
| 05-02 01:37 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.1795924211 | $55.52 |
| 05-02 01:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.67 |
| 05-01 08:06 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $21.25 |
| 05-01 08:05 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $11.78 |
| 05-01 08:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.07 |
| 04-28 17:48 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.2594897673 | $31.43 |