PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4abebc18f370bd6307f61230f6ad7bb8e29e79dc

Realised P&L
$-9.09
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$150.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · Yes0.0590.065$150.86+$14.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:45Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.0587102071$136.26
09-11 06:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11?BUY0.0087931259$10.00
08-14 23:22Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?SELL0.79$194.10
05-14 09:13Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?BUY0.018634453$58.34
05-14 09:12Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?SELL0.98$58.94
05-04 04:16Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?SELL0.17361605$14.45
05-04 00:48Will Trump visit China by May 15?SELL0.13$11.66
05-04 00:48Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.08$9.69
05-02 08:30Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.9112509382$36.42
05-02 01:37Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.1795924211$55.52
05-02 01:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.999$16.67
05-01 08:06Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$21.25
05-01 08:05Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?SELL0.82$11.78
05-01 08:05Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.94$9.07
04-28 17:48Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.2594897673$31.43