ordnex2
0x4abcfad5e7f60e8944e1d2c66190336f47af95a5
- Realised P&L
- $-21.34
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $12.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$2.64at 0.013Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
- +$1.62at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$0.94at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$0.91at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:07 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 07:07 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 07:07 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 07:07 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 07:06 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 07:06 | Will there be no next OpenAI GPT Sol model release by October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.60 |
| 09-22 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.18 |
| 09-21 14:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.042 | $4.20 |
| 09-21 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999807 | $2.77 |
| 09-21 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9399998547 | $2.07 |
| 09-21 14:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $8.16 |
| 09-20 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $0.45 |
| 09-20 07:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $1.26 |
| 09-20 07:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $3.24 |