0x4ab85cc22f7510badb64fb64dbbc693570551920
0x4ab85cc22f7510badb64fb64dbbc693570551920
- Realised P&L
- $-670.46
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $10.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.385 | $8.04 | −$0.31 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 FC Barcelona? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.026 | $2.59 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.87at 0.257Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$80.84at 0.473Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$50.69at 0.440Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?
- +$48.46at 0.364Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?
- +$46.89at 0.225Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 21:35 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.35 |
| 10-19 21:35 | Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 FC Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.93 |
| 10-19 17:40 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3499999899 | $6.94 |
| 10-19 17:38 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.6299999855 | $7.39 |
| 08-28 23:20 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.6499999633 | $1.77 |
| 08-28 11:27 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.5799998011 | $1.05 |
| 08-28 11:26 | Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC? | BUY | 0.1099999146 | $1.12 |
| 08-27 18:17 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.80 |
| 08-27 18:17 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.3499999079 | $1.90 |
| 08-23 15:12 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.5099999958 | $3.64 |
| 08-23 15:12 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.77 |
| 08-22 22:12 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.5099999849 | $2.37 |
| 08-22 22:11 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.6599999576 | $2.49 |
| 08-22 16:53 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.6799999519 | $3.39 |
| 08-22 16:52 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.63 |