tukki-tq
0x4ab5200faa4d685dd87bba5ecca5832e7c9b2faa
- Realised P&L
- $-3.50
- Volume
- $778.15
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $0.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?
- +$4.50at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?
- +$0.76at 0.029Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?
- +$0.24at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?
- +$0.13at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 10-01 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.07 |
| 09-27 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-20 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 09-08 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 09-08 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 09-08 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-07 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-06 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-31 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-30 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-27 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-26 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-25 01:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 25? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |