OtaBenga
0x4ab47d48a232c19762f18209dbb58d7b940de073
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $725.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.63at 0.032Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
- +$240.50at 0.233Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
- +$201.30at 0.180Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
- +$108.05at 0.999Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
- +$105.10at 0.590Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:48 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | SELL | 0.9632609053 | $175.78 |
| 09-21 01:20 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.1666316008 | $44.00 |
| 09-19 23:27 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $47.40 |
| 09-16 19:11 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 16:58 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 08-28 16:00 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $67.94 |
| 08-25 20:30 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1602857109 | $33.00 |
| 08-20 19:51 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 08-07 12:43 | Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:11 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4396630806 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 20:07 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 03:11 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 08-04 03:11 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 07-26 23:02 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.4099999688 | $2.50 |