OtaBenga
0x4ab47d48a232c19762f18209dbb58d7b940de073
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $768.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.63at 0.032Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
- +$240.50at 0.233Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
- +$201.30at 0.180Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
- +$108.05at 0.999Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
- +$105.10at 0.590Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:11 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4396630806 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 20:07 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 03:11 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 08-04 03:11 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 07-26 23:02 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.4099999688 | $2.50 |
| 07-26 23:02 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.4025567104 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 18:01 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.74 |
| 07-25 17:59 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 10:53 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $20.10 |
| 07-23 01:49 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 01:48 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.4800853485 | $54.00 |
| 07-19 19:51 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0159692369 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 14:18 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $41.82 |
| 07-19 14:17 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $13.32 |