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Traders

OtaBenga

0x4ab47d48a232c19762f18209dbb58d7b940de073

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$25.4k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$768.19

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.4600.625$125.00+$33.00
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · No0.4890.625$114.05+$24.73
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · Yes0.4740.505$113.11+$6.83
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · No0.4480.415$108.92$8.58
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.5630.750$78.00+$19.40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4940.460$73.42$5.43
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.6060.630$64.05+$2.45
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? · No0.7900.805$40.25+$0.75
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · Yes0.5200.625$22.84+$3.84
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1710.140$21.95$4.82
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.155$5.01$14.69
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · No0.2800.285$1.42+$0.02
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? · No0.2300.000$0.00$5.48
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$16.83
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$26.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:11Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4396630806$100.00
08-04 20:07Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.28$1.40
08-04 03:11Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.62$18.60
08-04 03:11Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$23.00
08-03 23:06Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.79$39.50
07-26 23:02Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.4099999688$2.50
07-26 23:02Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.4025567104$10.00
07-25 18:01Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?SELL0.7$3.74
07-25 17:59Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-25 10:53Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?SELL0.67$20.10
07-23 01:49Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.5$50.00
07-23 01:48Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.4800853485$54.00
07-19 19:51Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0159692369$1.00
07-19 14:18Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.73$41.82
07-19 14:17Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.74$13.32