PolyBot

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Traders

OtaBenga

0x4ab47d48a232c19762f18209dbb58d7b940de073

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$26.5k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$725.97

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · No0.4480.705$185.03+$67.53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4940.715$114.12+$35.27
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.4600.795$111.30+$46.90
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.5630.968$100.67+$42.07
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.6060.890$90.48+$28.88
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · Yes0.2090.205$61.62$1.38
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · No0.7800.965$48.23+$9.22
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · Yes0.2950.032$9.94$83.12
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · No0.2800.380$1.90+$0.50
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1710.009$1.41$25.36
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.040$1.28$18.42
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? · No0.2300.000$0.00$5.48
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$16.83
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$26.00
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$3.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 02:48Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?SELL0.9632609053$175.78
09-21 01:20Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?BUY0.1666316008$44.00
09-19 23:27Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?SELL0.79$47.40
09-16 19:11Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.26$13.00
09-16 16:58Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.24$12.00
08-28 16:00Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.33$67.94
08-25 20:30Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1602857109$33.00
08-20 19:51Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?BUY0.78$39.00
08-07 12:43Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?BUY0.991$1.00
08-04 20:11Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4396630806$100.00
08-04 20:07Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.28$1.40
08-04 03:11Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.62$18.60
08-04 03:11Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.46$23.00
08-03 23:06Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.79$39.50
07-26 23:02Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.4099999688$2.50