PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Johnboll

0x4ab30fe8e29658fc9d3e6db061285d4c4efd4494

Realised P&L
$-38.09
Volume
$492.48
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$5.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9650.995$5.15+$0.15
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No0.9330.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 09:49Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.09$0.30
09-15 09:48Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9649999942$5.00
07-31 16:54Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.29999982$1.00
06-11 06:56Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.69$4.00
05-16 19:46Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.9449998027$4.00
05-16 19:36Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.9329993189$1.00
05-16 19:34Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?SELL0.991$5.56
05-13 17:03Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9799999751$5.50
05-06 11:39LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.98$5.38
04-30 14:16Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.9789999977$3.00
04-29 13:27Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
04-29 13:25Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.989$5.05
04-27 11:06Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.9499998827$4.86
04-27 11:05Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.85$3.03
04-22 11:39Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?BUY0.8699999347$1.58