Karlvvv
0x4ab1fcab1b61d08a9424628f9f249c56fc31a978
- Realised P&L
- $-441.05
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No | 0.306 | 0.585 | $849.31 | +$405.31 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.450 | 0.455 | $101.11 | +$1.11 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.355 | $98.76 | −$1.24 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.03 |
| Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$259.59 |
| M25 Darwin: Casey Hoole vs Hayden Jones · Hayden Jones | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-58.68at 0.018Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 14:03 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4499999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 22:18 | M25 Darwin: Casey Hoole vs Hayden Jones | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 11:00 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.3594582962 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 09:35 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.6162094924 | $314.32 |
| 09-25 14:09 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 14:09 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.3099999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-25 14:07 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.3017636626 | $300.00 |
| 07-02 13:53 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999995 | $158.03 |
| 07-01 23:41 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.014 | $166.13 |
| 05-26 12:19 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $213.59 |
| 05-19 17:55 | Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? | BUY | 0.7119999692 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 18:22 | Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? | BUY | 0.3207403677 | $254.59 |