Einstein123
0x4ab114277c1f795d4d6a376f4eb7db0c41a2e6b6
- Realised P&L
- $-74.60
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $93.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.059 | $90.20 | −$9.80 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.032 | $3.15 | −$1.85 |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? · No | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.00at 0.060US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$30.21at 0.770Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:27 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 23:03 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0648552533 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 19:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 21:45 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August? | BUY | 0.3069844714 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 15:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 13:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 17:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7609999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 19:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |