mrdy
0x4aaf3b7df0d9ce28243a29fb668500aa791ee80c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $66.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,221
- Open portfolio
- $253.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,221
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.01at 0.231Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$56.83at 0.769Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$50.35at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$50.34at 0.568Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$50.30at 0.371Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.7599999763 | $3.85 |
| 10-20 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.0482613314 | $2.04 |
| 10-20 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.5099999215 | $2.99 |
| 10-20 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.9579998878 | $4.80 |
| 10-20 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.87 |
| 10-20 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.6599999448 | $3.35 |
| 10-20 03:48 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.7099999606 | $3.60 |
| 10-20 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.7699999645 | $3.90 |
| 10-20 01:48 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.6199999449 | $3.15 |
| 10-20 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.2199999853 | $2.99 |
| 10-20 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.4099999833 | $2.94 |
| 10-20 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.87 |