PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mrdy

0x4aaf3b7df0d9ce28243a29fb668500aa791ee80c

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$66.6k
Markets traded
1,221
Open portfolio
$253.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,221
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 05:48Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20?BUY0.06$3.00
10-20 05:48Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?BUY0.7599999763$3.85
10-20 05:48Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 20?BUY0.5899999725$3.00
10-20 05:48Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 20?BUY0.0482613314$2.04
10-20 05:48Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?BUY0.5099999215$2.99
10-20 04:20Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?BUY0.9579998878$4.80
10-20 03:48Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20?BUY0.4$2.87
10-20 03:48Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?BUY0.4899999984$3.00
10-20 03:48Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?BUY0.6599999448$3.35
10-20 03:48Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 20?BUY0.7099999606$3.60
10-20 03:48Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?BUY0.7699999645$3.90
10-20 01:48Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?BUY0.6199999449$3.15
10-20 01:48Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?BUY0.2199999853$2.99
10-20 01:48Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?BUY0.4099999833$2.94
10-20 01:48Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?BUY0.4$2.87