PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

twerk4hv

0x4aac816a4aa83520b4718b6cf2617e8040c9ced2

Realised P&L
$-18.3k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
487
Open portfolio
$11.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded487
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.4700.080$6.96−$33.93
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? · Yes0.1480.035$4.71−$15.45
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19? · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.05
Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$3.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$39.00
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00−$20.12
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 19? · Up0.5810.000$0.00−$62.90
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21? · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.05
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18? · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.05
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$22.47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.05
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winner · SPARTA0.0010.000$0.00−$0.25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? · Down0.7980.000$0.00−$25.6k
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22? · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.20
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28? · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 17:04Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.864$387.47
09-12 06:43Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.2647368421$20.12
09-12 06:43Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.2368377353$29.95
09-12 06:42Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.07$22.47
09-11 19:57Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.87$22.25
09-03 23:15Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 7?BUY0.9490830146$109.18
09-03 20:39Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.8968996514$378.16
09-03 20:37Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.8826557705$13.23
09-03 20:37Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.7992575454$203.12
06-30 07:24Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?SELL0.02$0.80
06-01 13:37S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.0489874176$245.28
06-01 13:30S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.2893361445$347.20
06-01 13:30S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.151680247$129.67
06-01 13:29S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.9907522606$79.98
05-31 19:55Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9825748281$2.3k