PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

twerk4hv

0x4aac816a4aa83520b4718b6cf2617e8040c9ced2

Realised P&L
$-18.1k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
486
Open portfolio
$103.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded486
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.2370.285$36.04+$6.09
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.2650.305$23.18+$3.06
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.0700.070$22.47+$0.00
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.4700.175$15.22$25.66
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? · Yes0.1480.045$6.14$14.01
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19? · Up0.0010.000$0.00$0.05
Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap? · No0.7100.000$0.00$3.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$39.00
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 19? · Up0.5810.000$0.00$62.90
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21? · Up0.0010.000$0.00$0.05
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18? · Down0.0010.000$0.00$0.05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? · Down0.0010.000$0.00$0.05
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winner · SPARTA0.0010.000$0.00$0.25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? · Down0.7980.000$0.00$25.6k
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22? · Up0.0010.000$0.00$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 06:43Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.2647368421$20.12
09-12 06:43Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.2368377353$29.95
09-12 06:42Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.07$22.47
09-11 19:57Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.87$22.25
09-03 23:15Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 7?BUY0.9490830146$109.18
09-03 20:39Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.8968996514$378.16
09-03 20:37Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.8826557705$13.23
09-03 20:37Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.7992575454$203.12
06-30 07:24Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?SELL0.02$0.80
06-01 13:37S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.0489874176$245.28
06-01 13:30S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.2893361445$347.20
06-01 13:30S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.151680247$129.67
06-01 13:29S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?BUY0.9907522606$79.98
05-31 19:55Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9825748281$2.3k
05-31 19:51Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9808$1.5k