PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4aa75BA49A6cDF03C9dB24caB0a28273282e736E-1780009593383

0x4aa75ba49a6cdf03c9db24cab0a28273282e736e

Realised P&L
$-6.3k
Volume
$378.7k
Markets traded
678
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded678
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4070.630$2.2k+$776.45
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.1000.001$0.15−$29.85
Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.001$0.11−$58.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 01:30Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?BUY0.27$59.09
10-15 01:30Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.1$30.00
10-03 18:23Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.73$25.55
10-03 18:23Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.73$1.7k
10-03 18:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4791452284$1.7k
10-03 18:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.482$2.41
09-16 23:57Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.7$101.50
09-16 23:51LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5SELL0.991$99.10
09-16 22:24LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5BUY0.29$29.00
09-16 22:23Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.19$18.31
09-16 22:22Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.14$14.00
09-16 22:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.41$307.50
09-16 22:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4092439529$1.4k
09-16 22:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4041328044$1.2k
09-16 22:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$81.83