0x4aa75BA49A6cDF03C9dB24caB0a28273282e736E-1780009593383
0x4aa75ba49a6cdf03c9db24cab0a28273282e736e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $378.7k
- Markets traded
- 678
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded678
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.407 | 0.630 | $2.2k | +$776.45 |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$29.85 |
| Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$58.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$520.38at 0.062Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
- +$370.39at 0.782Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?
- +$313.56at 0.847Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
- +$246.53at 0.452Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5
- +$230.49at 0.686Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:30 | Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $59.09 |
| 10-15 01:30 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 18:23 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.73 | $25.55 |
| 10-03 18:23 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.7k |
| 10-03 18:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4791452284 | $1.7k |
| 10-03 18:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.482 | $2.41 |
| 09-16 23:57 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7 | $101.50 |
| 09-16 23:51 | LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 09-16 22:24 | LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 09-16 22:23 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.19 | $18.31 |
| 09-16 22:22 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-16 22:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $307.50 |
| 09-16 22:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4092439529 | $1.4k |
| 09-16 22:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4041328044 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 22:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $81.83 |