ineck12
0x4aa4c7b1890c8804ad891e8b1e8dd499f19181ea
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $82.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $33.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$653.50at 0.182Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
- +$177.86at 0.140US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$154.58at 0.240US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$133.42at 0.537Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?
- +$100.57at 0.148Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 03:37 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1219999973 | $39.00 |
| 06-14 03:36 | Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0118969901 | $17.00 |
| 06-14 03:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.03 | $13.02 |
| 06-14 03:32 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0272669004 | $17.19 |
| 06-14 03:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $20.14 |
| 06-14 03:31 | Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0293946294 | $10.37 |
| 06-07 22:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999979 | $36.26 |
| 06-07 22:38 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0691845898 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 22:36 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.59 | $147.50 |
| 06-01 08:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $49.91 |
| 06-01 08:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 08:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $150.00 |
| 05-30 16:04 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 05-30 16:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.4 | $60.00 |
| 05-30 07:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? | BUY | 0.1099999962 | $25.00 |