0x75b3dceB8335607354bbc4525DF3600C5a5Cb83a-1768273814827
0x4aa35981914ef33f696263da2565a7076a4abf9f
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $112.14
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $40.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.584 | 0.425 | $21.84 | −$8.16 |
| Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.285 | $9.20 | −$3.80 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21? · No | 0.570 | 0.610 | $5.39 | +$0.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.190 | $3.73 | −$1.77 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.5699999525 | $5.04 |
| 10-14 23:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.2799999878 | $5.50 |
| 10-14 23:18 | Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.5838323316 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 23:16 | Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.4028317336 | $13.00 |