TRTFGJHJ
0x4aa328eabbcb3cbc874ad0a029d3cff86753fbe1
- Realised P&L
- $133.52
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $29.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $7.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $4.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $3.92 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.994 | 0.991 | $3.29 | −$0.01 |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $3.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.00at 0.500Sabres vs. Panthers
- +$0.03at 0.994Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Solana reach $160 in June?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?
- +$0.02at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 06:11 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.10 |
| 09-03 01:44 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.49 |
| 08-03 12:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.07 |
| 07-16 02:30 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-03 05:51 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 06-03 03:23 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.87 |
| 05-15 13:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.59 |
| 05-05 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.49 |
| 04-25 10:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.49 |
| 04-10 02:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.49 |
| 04-01 08:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 03-22 02:43 | Will Solana reach $110 March 16-22? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 03-22 02:42 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9939999994 | $3.30 |
| 03-22 02:42 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.90 |
| 03-15 12:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |