0x4a9d331b1c929af8c55b22ee311feb864002b626
0x4a9d331b1c929af8c55b22ee311feb864002b626
- Realised P&L
- $14.55
- Volume
- $288.99
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $2.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.400 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.870 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.140 | $0.42 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$4.25at 0.350US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.19at 0.359S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$4.01at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$3.84at 0.379S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:58 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:42 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:17 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:06 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:25 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:23 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:19 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:39 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.4199999558 | $1.14 |
| 09-23 14:36 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.14 |
| 09-22 18:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.2799999705 | $1.14 |