sdfsdfsdf55
0x4a9c88656b8d36bdcfdecf30bd79e54a6ece14ad
- Realised P&L
- $-310.46
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $244.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.980 | $137.20 | −$1.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17? · No | 0.990 | 0.985 | $57.13 | −$0.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 17? · No | 0.990 | 0.994 | $50.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on September 13? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 14? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on September 14? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 16°C on September 13? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.49at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 13?
- +$2.83at 0.914Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?
- +$2.60at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 15?
- +$2.58at 0.989Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 19°C on September 13?
- +$1.90at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $138.60 |
| 09-17 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $57.42 |
| 09-16 15:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-16 15:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-16 15:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9774682948 | $19.50 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-16 13:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-16 13:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-16 13:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-16 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.82 |
| 09-16 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-16 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9411948959 | $10.00 |